Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falkirk vs Hibernian

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Falkirk Logo

Falkirk

1 - 3
FT
Hibernian Logo

Hibernian

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Campbell J.
Assist: Obita J.
20' Event
Campbell J.
Assist: Boyle M.
37'
Sub
McCann L. In: Henderson L.
Out: McCann L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Falkirk and Hibernian finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hibernian.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Falkirk
30%
Draws
31%
Hibernian
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hibernian carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Falkirk taking it.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 19%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Hibernian
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
1:3
Jan 24, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Falkirk
3:0
Sep 23, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Hibernian
2:2
Jul 12, 2022 League Cup
Falkirk vs Hibernian
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Broggio B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Hibernian Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Obita J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 36 / 100
Hibernian 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Hibernian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Hibernian's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Falkirk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Hibernian
0.86 Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

Hibernian

(Away)
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 49
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)