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Falkirk vs Rangers

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ramalho Chermiti Y.
Assist: Moore M.
6' Event
Ramalho Chermiti Y.
7' Event
Butland J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Rangers in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Falkirk
30%
Draws
34%
Rangers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Falkirk at 1.5 per game, Rangers at 1.38.
  • Win probability leans Falkirk's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 14%
Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Rangers
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 14 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Rangers
2:5
Apr 12, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Rangers
3:6
Nov 30, 2025 Premiership
Rangers vs Falkirk
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Rangers
1:1
Nov 29, 2020 League Cup
Falkirk vs Rangers
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramalho Chermiti Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gassama D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 35 / 100
Rangers 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Falkirk scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Rangers has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Falkirk has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Rangers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
01 Aug
Falkirk
0 : 2
St. Mirren
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
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Rangers

(Away)
31 Jul
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Rangers
26 Jul
Rangers
0 : 0
West Ham
22 Jul
Rangers
2 : 1
St Etienne
16 May
Falkirk
2 : 5
Rangers
13 May
Rangers
1 : 2
Hibernian
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 49
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)