Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falkirk vs St Johnstone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falkirk host St Johnstone in the Premiership. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Falkirk at 1.57 goals for, 1.57 against; St Johnstone at 1.75 for, 0.89 against. Past meetings favor St Johnstone slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.06) back St Johnstone to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Falkirk
30%
Draws
23%
St Johnstone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Johnstone come out ahead of Falkirk on wins alone.
  • Falkirk are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 20%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk St Johnstone
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.57 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Falkirk
1:1
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
St Johnstone vs Falkirk
0:1
Jul 24, 2018 League Cup
St Johnstone vs Falkirk
1:0
Jul 23, 2016 League Cup
St Johnstone vs Falkirk
3:0
May 5, 2010 Premiership
Falkirk vs St Johnstone
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 76 / 100
St Johnstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk St Johnstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkirk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Falkirk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St Johnstone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS St Johnstone
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
24 Oct
Falkirk
3 : 0
Kilmarnock
17 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Falkirk
10 Oct
Falkirk
1 : 2
Dundee FC
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
Page 1 of 6

St Johnstone

(Away)
24 Oct
Rangers
4 : 0
St Johnstone
17 Oct
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Dundee Utd
11 Oct
Aberdeen
0 : 1
St Johnstone
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 10 7 2 1 17:7 23
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee Utd 10 4 3 3 14:14 15
5 Dundee FC 10 4 2 4 14:12 14
6 St. Mirren 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
7 Falkirk 10 3 3 4 12:12 12
8 St Johnstone 10 3 3 4 11:15 12
9 Aberdeen 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 10 2 2 6 10:23 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)