Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fama Vipava vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tolmin in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Fama Vipava
20%
Draws
58%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tolmin lately — more wins on the board than Fama Vipava.
  • Model gives Tolmin a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fama Vipava Clean Sheet 10%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fama Vipava Tolmin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Fama Vipava
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
1:2
May 27, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Fama Vipava
2:0
Nov 6, 2022 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
0:1
Mar 20, 2022 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fama Vipava 10 / 100
Tolmin 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fama Vipava Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fama Vipava's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tolmin let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Fama Vipava has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fama Vipava VS Tolmin
1.38 Goals Scored 2
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fama Vipava

(Home)
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
3 : 5
Fama Vipava
06 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Rudar Trbovlje
29 Aug
Izola
11 : 0
Fama Vipava
23 Aug
Fama Vipava
1 : 3
Ziri
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Tolmin

(Away)
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)