Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fama Vipava vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tolmin in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Fama Vipava
6%
Draws
90%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tolmin lately — more wins on the board than Fama Vipava.
  • Model gives Tolmin a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fama Vipava Clean Sheet 11%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fama Vipava Tolmin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Fama Vipava
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
1:2
May 27, 2023 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Fama Vipava
2:0
Nov 6, 2022 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
0:1
Mar 20, 2022 3. SNL - West
Fama Vipava vs Tolmin
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fama Vipava 10 / 100
Tolmin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fama Vipava Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fama Vipava's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tolmin let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Fama Vipava stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fama Vipava VS Tolmin
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fama Vipava

(Home)
24 May
Fama Vipava
2 : 2
Dob
16 May
Tolmin
0 : 0
Fama Vipava
10 May
Fama Vipava
1 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
02 May
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 0
Fama Vipava
25 Apr
Fama Vipava
1 : 1
Sencur
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Tolmin

(Away)
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3
Tolmin
16 May
Tolmin
0 : 0
Fama Vipava
09 May
Tolmin
3 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
02 May
Skofja Loka
1 : 3
Tolmin
25 Apr
Tolmin
5 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vrhnika26175463:2156
2Sencur26166446:2754
3Dob26155654:2950
4Tolmin26143947:3345
5Izola26126853:3942
6Rudar Trbovlje26118756:3941
7IB 1975 Ljubljana261131235:4436
8Sobec Lesce261061031:3236
9Skofja Loka26791037:4230
10Ziri26761330:5227
11Fama Vipava26681228:4226
12Ljubljana Svoboda26651530:5123
13Zidgrad Idrija26641634:5722
14Bistrc26541735:7119
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)