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Famalicao U19 vs Leiria U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Antonio E.
86' Event
Vieira S.
90' Event
Antonio E.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Famalicao U19 and Leiria U19 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Famalicao U19
35%
Draws
19%
Leiria U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Famalicao U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Famalicao U19 have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Leiria U19 are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Famalicao U19 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Famalicao U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao U19 Leiria U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Famalicao U19
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Famalicao U19 vs Leiria U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Famalicao U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonio E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vieira S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao U19 56 / 100
Leiria U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao U19 Leiria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Famalicao U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Famalicao U19 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Famalicao U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao U19 VS Leiria U19
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Feirense U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
12 Sept
FC Porto U19
4 : 0
Famalicao U19
05 Sept
Academico Viseu U19
1 : 0
Famalicao U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
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Leiria U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
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