Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23

Portugal Portugal

Taca Revelacao U23
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kaba M.
15' Event
Maia G.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Kaba M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Gil Vicente U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Famalicao U23
6%
Draws
90%
Gil Vicente U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gil Vicente U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gil Vicente U23 come out ahead of Famalicao U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gil Vicente U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Gil Vicente U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gil Vicente U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Famalicao U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Gil Vicente U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao U23 Gil Vicente U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Taca Revelacao U23
Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
1:4
Oct 28, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23
1:2
Aug 13, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
1:2
Apr 1, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
2:0
Jan 21, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Gil Vicente U23 vs Famalicao U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Famalicao U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gil Vicente U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaba M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao U23 10 / 100
Gil Vicente U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao U23 Gil Vicente U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao U23 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Gil Vicente U23 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Famalicao U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao U23 VS Gil Vicente U23
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao U23

(Home)
11 Jul
Famalicao
5 : 0
Famalicao U23
11 May
Famalicao U23
1 : 4
Gil Vicente U23
28 Apr
Benfica U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
21 Apr
Famalicao U23
2 : 1
Torreense U23
14 Apr
Braga U23
2 : 3
Famalicao U23
Page 1 of 6

Gil Vicente U23

(Away)
03 Jun
Santa Clara U23
1 : 2
Gil Vicente U23
26 May
Gil Vicente U23
2 : 1
Santa Clara U23
20 May
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Gil Vicente U23
16 May
Gil Vicente U23
2 : 2
Leixoes U23
11 May
Famalicao U23
1 : 4
Gil Vicente U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Famalicao U23-
TBD-
Gil Vicente U232
Sporting CP U231
Torreense U23-
TBD-
TBD-
Leixoes U23-
Academico Viseu U23-
TBD-
Rio Ave U233
Santa Clara U234
Benfica U23-
TBD-
TBD-
Braga U23-
Quarter-finals
Famalicao U231
Gil Vicente U234
Torreense U230
Leixoes U232
Academico Viseu U232
Santa Clara U234
Benfica U232
Braga U231
Semi-finals
Gil Vicente U234
Leixoes U233
Santa Clara U234
Benfica U233
Final
Gil Vicente U234
Santa Clara U232