Sport Picks
Famalicao vs Moreirense
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao 
Match Events
4'
4'
Alonso R.
Assist: John N.
11'
11'
Sorriso
30'
30'
Alonso R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between Famalicao and Moreirense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Famalicao carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Famalicao's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 68%
Moreirense Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Famalicao | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2026 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Moreirense
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Famalicao
2:2
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Moreirense vs Famalicao
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Moreirense
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Liga Portugal
Moreirense vs Famalicao
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Famalicao Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Moreirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonso R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Famalicao 95 / 100
Moreirense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Famalicao Moreirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Famalicao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Famalicao scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Moreirense let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Famalicao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Famalicao VS Moreirense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Famalicao
(Home) 19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4 Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
16 Aug
Famalicao
1 : 2 Maritimo
31 Jul
Famalicao
2 : 3 Como
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 4
Moreirense
(Away) 20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Moreirense
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1 Maritimo
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1 Moreirense
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Moreirense
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1 Moreirense
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
16 Aug
Arouca
4 : 0 Moreirense
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2 Moreirense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
