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Famalicao vs Penafiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Famalicao
35%
Draws
41%
Penafiel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Penafiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Penafiel at 1.31 per game, Famalicao at 1.17.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Famalicao taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Famalicao here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 19%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao Penafiel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Famalicao vs Penafiel
0:0
Jul 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Famalicao vs Penafiel
3:1
Sep 22, 2021 League Cup
Famalicao vs Penafiel
5:0
Jan 28, 2019 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Famalicao
1:2
Aug 19, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Famalicao vs Penafiel
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao 36 / 100
Penafiel 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao Penafiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Penafiel conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Famalicao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao VS Penafiel
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4
Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0
Famalicao
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Penafiel

(Away)
09 Oct
Penafiel
1 : 2
AFS
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
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