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Famalicao vs Tondela

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Famalicao and Tondela finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Famalicao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Famalicao
33%
Draws
27%
Tondela
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Famalicao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tondela haven't matched Famalicao's recent run of results.
  • Famalicao are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Famalicao have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 20%
Tondela Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao Tondela
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Famalicao vs Tondela
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Tondela
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga Portugal
Tondela vs Famalicao
0:1
Dec 9, 2022 League Cup
Famalicao vs Tondela
0:0
Feb 26, 2022 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Tondela
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao 40 / 100
Tondela 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao Tondela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Tondela conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Famalicao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao VS Tondela
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao

(Home)
28 Jul
Lens
0 : 1
Famalicao
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1
Crystal Palace
25 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Tondela
22 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0
Arouca
18 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 0
Penafiel
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Tondela

(Away)
29 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
25 Jul
Tondela
1 : 2
Beira Mar
25 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Tondela
22 Jul
Tondela
2 : 1
Academica
19 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1
Nacional
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