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Famalicao vs Tondela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Famalicao and Tondela finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Famalicao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Famalicao
30%
Draws
47%
Tondela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tondela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tondela haven't matched Famalicao's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Famalicao have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 16%
Tondela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao Tondela
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Famalicao vs Tondela
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Tondela
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga Portugal
Tondela vs Famalicao
0:1
Dec 9, 2022 League Cup
Famalicao vs Tondela
0:0
Feb 26, 2022 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Tondela
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao 31 / 100
Tondela 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao Tondela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tondela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Tondela conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Famalicao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao VS Tondela
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4
Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0
Famalicao
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Tondela

(Away)
10 Oct
Tondela
1 : 0
Torreense
19 Sept
Imortal
1 : 5
Tondela
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
05 Sept
Tondela
3 : 0
FC Porto B
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
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