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Famalicao W vs Damaiense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Famalicao W play Damaiense W in the Liga BPI Women 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Famalicao W averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Damaiense W averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Famalicao W won 1, Damaiense W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Famalicao W and 1.38 for Damaiense W. This points to a Famalicao W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Famalicao W
15%
Draws
38%
Damaiense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Famalicao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Famalicao W picked up more points recently compared to Damaiense W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Famalicao W Clean Sheet 17%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao W Damaiense W
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.41 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Damaiense W
3:0
Dec 21, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Famalicao W
3:0
Feb 17, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Damaiense W
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Famalicao W
3:2
Jan 29, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Famalicao W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Famalicao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Agama Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solis P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Damaiense W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao W 46 / 100
Damaiense W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao W Damaiense W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Famalicao W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Famalicao W attacking → ← attacking Damaiense W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao W scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Damaiense W let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Famalicao W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Damaiense W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 32
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110