Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Famalicao W vs Valadares Gaia W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Besugo N.
Assist: Santiago C.
40'
Strickland A.
40'
Smith L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Famalicao W and Valadares Gaia W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Famalicao W
22%
Draws
18%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Famalicao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Famalicao W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Famalicao W Clean Sheet 10%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 12 22
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:2
Dec 11, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Famalicao W
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Famalicao W
0:0
May 14, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Valadares Gaia W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Famalicao W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Besugo N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parkinson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao W 56 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Famalicao W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Valadares Gaia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Famalicao W's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao W VS Valadares Gaia W
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao W

(Home)
17 Jan
Vitoria Guimaraes W
3 : 0
Famalicao W
13 Dec
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Famalicao W
07 Jun
Rio Ave W
0 : 0
Famalicao W
25 May
Famalicao W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
11 May
Racing Power W
0 : 2
Famalicao W
Page 1 of 7

Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
02 May
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)