Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fana vs Bjarg

Norway Norway

NM Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Eiane M.
39' Event
Lygre J.
84' Event
Fromreide Aasbo E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fana
15%
Draws
46%
Bjarg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bjarg come out ahead of Fana on wins alone.
  • Bjarg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Bjarg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bjarg, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bjarg have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Fana Clean Sheet 10%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fana Bjarg
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.72 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NM Cup
Fana vs Bjarg
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Bjarg
3:4
Apr 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Bjarg vs Fana
6:0
Oct 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Fana vs Bjarg
1:5
Jun 22, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Bjarg vs Fana
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fana Compare

Top Goalscorer Lygre J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bjarg Compare

Top Goalscorer Eiane M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fromreide Aasbo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fana 26 / 100
Bjarg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fana Bjarg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjarg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fana found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Bjarg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Fana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fana VS Bjarg
3 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fana

(Home)
19 Sept
Forde
0 : 3
Fana
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
31 Aug
Fana
2 : 2
Brann 2
22 Aug
Fana
1 : 3
Bjarg
Page 1 of 6

Bjarg

(Away)
20 Sept
Bjarg
6 : 1
Traeff
16 Sept
Bjarg
1 : 4
Bryne
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
TBD -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
TBD -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
TBD -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -