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Fana vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Isaksen K.
6' Event
Rasmussen M.
47' Event
Isaksen K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 game between Fana and Varegg finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fana
22%
Draws
18%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Fana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fana's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fana here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fana Clean Sheet 16%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fana Varegg
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Fana vs Varegg
4:2
Oct 13, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Varegg
3:0
Jun 23, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Fana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fana Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaksen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gronhaug A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasmussen M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fana 57 / 100
Varegg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fana Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fana's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Varegg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Varegg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fana VS Varegg
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fana

(Home)
27 Jun
Brann 2
3 : 2
Fana
22 Jun
Fana
5 : 2
Sogndal 2
13 Jun
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 2
Fana
30 May
Fana
1 : 2
Forde
22 May
Austevoll
5 : 2
Fana
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Varegg

(Away)
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
30 May
Djerv 1919
3 : 2
Varegg
16 May
Varegg
0 : 2
Asane 2
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