Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Fancesa and Atletico Bermejo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Bermejo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Bermejo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico Bermejo come out ahead of Fancesa on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Atletico Bermejo have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Bermejo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fancesa | Atletico Bermejo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 7, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Fancesa
1:0
Nov 18, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Atletico Bermejo
1:2
Nov 23, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Bermejo vs Fancesa
4:0
Oct 18, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Atletico Bermejo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fancesa 34 / 100
Atletico Bermejo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fancesa Atletico Bermejo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Bermejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fancesa scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Atletico Bermejo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Fancesa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fancesa VS Atletico Bermejo
2.63 Goals Scored 1.83
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
75% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Fancesa
(Home) 26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1 Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3 Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1 Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1 Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0 C.A. Chocorosi
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11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3 Universitario de Sucre
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1 Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0 C.A. Chocorosi
23 Aug
Fancesa
2 : 7 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
28 Oct
Fancesa
4 : 2 Pasion Celeste
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Atletico Bermejo
(Away) 12 Nov
Real Potosi
3 : 1 Atletico Bermejo
05 Nov
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0 Real Potosi
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3 Atletico Bermejo
15 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
1 : 0 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
01 Oct
Atletico Bermejo
5 : 2 San Lorenzo del Beni
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12 Nov
Real Potosi
3 : 1 Atletico Bermejo
22 Oct
San Lorenzo del Beni
0 : 3 Atletico Bermejo
27 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3 : 0 Atletico Bermejo
02 Jul
Ciclon
1 : 1 Atletico Bermejo
18 Jun
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0 Atletico Bermejo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Destroyers | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Real America | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Universitario Beni | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Miraflores | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 2 | Ramiro Castillo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Always Ready | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Tiquipaya | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 5 | Deportivo Escara | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:26 | 2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Bermejo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Ciclon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 3 | Fancesa | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Quebracho Villa Montes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21:12 | 10 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:33 | 4 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
