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Fancesa vs Atletico Sucre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Fancesa and Atletico Sucre finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fancesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fancesa
33%
Draws
40%
Atletico Sucre
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atletico Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fancesa come out ahead of Atletico Sucre on wins alone.
  • Atletico Sucre are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 14%
Atletico Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Atletico Sucre
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Atletico Sucre vs Fancesa
1:2
May 13, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Atletico Sucre
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 27 / 100
Atletico Sucre 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Atletico Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fancesa scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Sucre conceded in 95% of 20 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fancesa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS Atletico Sucre
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Sucre

(Away)
16 Jul
Atletico Sucre
5 : 1
Deportivo Aleman
12 Jul
Independiente Recreo
2 : 3
Atletico Sucre
02 Jul
Atletico Sucre
1 : 1
Nacional Sucre
25 Jun
Atletico Sucre
1 : 2
Fancesa
18 Jun
Deportivo Aleman
3 : 0
Atletico Sucre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams