Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fancesa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fancesa have won more games recently than Garcia Agreda.
- Fancesa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Garcia Agreda have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 20%
Garcia Agreda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fancesa | Garcia Agreda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 33 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 15 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.12 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 19, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Garcia Agreda vs Fancesa
2:0
Nov 15, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Garcia Agreda
2:2
Dec 14, 2013 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Garcia Agreda
0:1
Nov 10, 2013 Copa Simon Bolivar
Garcia Agreda vs Fancesa
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fancesa 85 / 100
Garcia Agreda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fancesa Garcia Agreda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fancesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fancesa found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).
Defensive concern: Garcia Agreda conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Away concern: Garcia Agreda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fancesa VS Garcia Agreda
2.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fancesa
(Home) 26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1 Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3 Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1 Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1 Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0 C.A. Chocorosi
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11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3 Universitario de Sucre
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1 Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0 C.A. Chocorosi
23 Aug
Fancesa
2 : 7 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
28 Oct
Fancesa
4 : 2 Pasion Celeste
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Garcia Agreda
(Away) 15 Jul
Garcia Agreda
1 : 4 Municipal de Tarija
09 Jul
Atletico Bermejo
3 : 0 Garcia Agreda
25 Jun
Garcia Agreda
0 : 0 Ciclon
18 Jun
Municipalidad de Yacuiba
2 : 1 Garcia Agreda
11 Jun
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 1 Garcia Agreda
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09 Jul
Atletico Bermejo
3 : 0 Garcia Agreda
18 Jun
Municipalidad de Yacuiba
2 : 1 Garcia Agreda
11 Jun
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 1 Garcia Agreda
21 May
Ciclon
0 : 0 Garcia Agreda
10 Oct
24 de Septiembre
3 : 2 Garcia Agreda
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Pari | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Guabira | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Universitario Beni | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Mariscal Sucre | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 8 |
| 5 | San Borja | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8:33 | 0 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 2 | Em Huanuni | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Arauco Prado | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Maestranza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Tarija | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Garcia Agreda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Quebracho Villa Montes | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 4 | Fancesa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 10 |
| 5 | Wilstermann Cooperativas | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
