Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fancesa vs Garcia Agreda

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fancesa
6%
Draws
4%
Garcia Agreda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fancesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fancesa have won more games recently than Garcia Agreda.
  • Fancesa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Garcia Agreda have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 20%
Garcia Agreda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Garcia Agreda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 14
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.25 0.33
Goals Conceded 1 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Garcia Agreda vs Fancesa
2:0
Nov 15, 2015 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Garcia Agreda
2:2
Dec 14, 2013 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Garcia Agreda
0:1
Nov 10, 2013 Copa Simon Bolivar
Garcia Agreda vs Fancesa
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 85 / 100
Garcia Agreda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Garcia Agreda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fancesa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Garcia Agreda conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Garcia Agreda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS Garcia Agreda
2.25 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

Garcia Agreda

(Away)
15 Jul
Garcia Agreda
1 : 4
Municipal de Tarija
09 Jul
Atletico Bermejo
3 : 0
Garcia Agreda
25 Jun
Garcia Agreda
0 : 0
Ciclon
18 Jun
Municipalidad de Yacuiba
2 : 1
Garcia Agreda
11 Jun
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 1
Garcia Agreda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Royal Pari860218:918
2Guabira851219:716
3Universitario Beni851220:1516
4Mariscal Sucre822413:148
5San Borja80088:330
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora641115:913
2Em Huanuni63037:109
3Arauco Prado61329:96
4Maestranza61235:85
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Tarija85127:816
2Garcia Agreda841314:1113
3Quebracho Villa Montes841315:1413
4Fancesa831415:1310
5Wilstermann Cooperativas820611:166
Promotion - Nacional B 2015/2016 (Winners stage)