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Fancesa vs Torre Fuerte

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Fancesa and Torre Fuerte finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fancesa
39%
Draws
31%
Torre Fuerte
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Torre Fuerte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 10%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Torre Fuerte
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Fancesa
3:2
Aug 26, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Torre Fuerte
0:0
Dec 12, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Torre Fuerte
4:2
Dec 9, 2020 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Fancesa
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 29 / 100
Torre Fuerte 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Torre Fuerte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fancesa scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Torre Fuerte has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Fancesa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS Torre Fuerte
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

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3Municipalidad de Yacuiba40132:71
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1Torre Fuerte42115:47
2Pasion Celeste42027:86
3Fancesa41128:84
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1San Antonio Bulo Bulo430120:29
2Atletico Bermejo43019:59
3San Lorenzo del Beni40043:250
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3Real Mapajo40223:62
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1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz43109:210
2Deportivo Aleman41219:85
3Academia del Balompie40134:121