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Fanfulla vs Certaldo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cocuzza R.
14' Event
Akammadu F.
66' Event
Gozzerini M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fanfulla
30%
Draws
47%
Certaldo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Certaldo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Fanfulla average 0.91 goals a game right now, well clear of Certaldo's 0.73.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Fanfulla taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 68%
Certaldo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla Certaldo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.91 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Certaldo
2:2
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Certaldo vs Fanfulla
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Cocuzza R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnemma R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Certaldo Compare

Top Goalscorer Akammadu F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gozzerini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 59 / 100
Certaldo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla Certaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fanfulla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fanfulla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Certaldo has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Certaldo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fanfulla VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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Certaldo

(Away)
05 May
Carpi
5 : 1
Certaldo
28 Apr
Certaldo
3 : 2
Aglianese Calcio
21 Apr
Ravenna
3 : 0
Certaldo
14 Apr
Certaldo
1 : 6
Corticella
07 Apr
Victor San Marino
1 : 1
Certaldo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)