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Fanfulla vs Chievo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fiorini G.
45' Event
de Cerchio A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Fanfulla and Chievo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Fanfulla
30%
Draws
61%
Chievo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chievo come out ahead of Fanfulla on wins alone.
  • Chievo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 22%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla Chievo
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 19
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Chievo
0:2
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Fanfulla
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fanfulla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiorini G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Cerchio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 10 / 100
Chievo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla Chievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fanfulla's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Chievo conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fanfulla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chievo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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Chievo

(Away)
05 Sept
Chievo
1 : 0
Pavonese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1
AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)