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Fanfulla vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Lucatti G.
44' Event
Busatto T.
76'
Chiricallo M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Fanfulla
20%
Draws
65%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Pro Sesto have won more games recently than Fanfulla.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Pro Sesto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 18%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Pro Sesto
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs Fanfulla
1:1
Aug 14, 2024 Club Friendly
Pro Sesto vs Fanfulla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Busatto T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 10 / 100
Pro Sesto 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fanfulla found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pro Sesto conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Fanfulla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pro Sesto
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

Pro Sesto

(Away)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)