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Fanfulla vs San Donnino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cocuzza R.
46' Event
Premoli G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Fanfulla and San Donnino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fanfulla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Fanfulla
35%
Draws
46%
San Donnino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Donnino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fanfulla come out ahead of San Donnino on wins alone.
  • San Donnino are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 19%
San Donnino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla San Donnino
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs San Donnino
2:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Fanfulla
3:3
Feb 6, 2022 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Fanfulla
0:1
Oct 2, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs San Donnino
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Cocuzza R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Premoli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

San Donnino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 24 / 100
San Donnino 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla San Donnino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Donnino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Donnino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Fanfulla found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Fanfulla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fanfulla VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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San Donnino

(Away)
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2
San Donnino
28 Apr
San Donnino
0 : 2
Ravenna
21 Apr
Corticella
2 : 2
San Donnino
14 Apr
San Donnino
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
07 Apr
Lentigione
2 : 3
San Donnino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)