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Fano vs Porto D'Ascoli Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Broso A.
81' Event
Zanni N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between Fano and Porto D'Ascoli finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fano
35%
Draws
19%
Porto D'Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Fano's 1.19 goals per match outpaces what Porto D'Ascoli have produced (0.77).
  • Model gives Fano a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fano Clean Sheet 68%
Porto D'Ascoli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fano Porto D'Ascoli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 13
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.19 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Porto D'Ascoli
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Fano
2:0
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Porto D'Ascoli vs Fano
1:2
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Porto D'Ascoli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fano Compare

Top Goalscorer Broso A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zanni N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Porto D'Ascoli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fano 59 / 100
Porto D'Ascoli 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fano Porto D'Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fano found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Porto D'Ascoli conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Fano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fano VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fano

(Home)
05 May
Fano
5 : 2
Real Monterotondo
28 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0
Fano
21 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Fano
14 Apr
Fano
1 : 0
Roma City
07 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 2
Fano
Page 1 of 7

Porto D'Ascoli

(Away)
07 May
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 1
Porto D'Ascoli
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
Pineto
2 : 2
Porto D'Ascoli
16 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1
Nuova Florida
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Porto D'Ascoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pineto 34 21 9 4 50:21 72
2 Vigor Senigallia 34 20 7 7 52:34 67
3 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 56:41 62
4 Fano 34 18 6 10 45:34 60
5 Cynthialbalonga 34 13 13 8 32:23 52
6 Matese 34 12 11 11 44:38 47
7 Sambenedettese 34 13 8 13 39:37 46
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 10 12 29:27 46
9 Porto D'Ascoli 34 10 15 9 28:27 45
10 Vastogirardi 34 10 13 11 30:31 42
11 Nuova Florida 34 11 9 14 33:44 42
12 Avezzano 34 11 7 16 35:41 40
13 Roma City 34 9 10 15 29:42 37
14 Vastese 34 8 12 14 37:43 36
15 Termoli 34 5 19 10 25:34 34
16 Notaresco Calcio 34 6 13 15 23:41 31
17 Montegiorgio 34 7 10 17 21:34 31
18 US Tolentino 34 7 10 17 25:41 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)