Sport Picks
Fard vs Mes Shahr Babak Prediction & H2H Stats
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 
Match Events
71'
71'
Naghizadeh M.
81'
81'
Raoufimanesh M.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Fard and Mes Shahr Babak finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fard
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mes Shahr Babak come out ahead of Fard on wins alone.
- Fard are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Fard Clean Sheet 68%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fard | Mes Shahr Babak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 15 | 13 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.47 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Fard vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Fard
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fard Compare
Top Goalscorer Naghizadeh M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Mes Shahr Babak Compare
Top Goalscorer Raoufimanesh M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fard 50 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fard Mes Shahr Babak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Fard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fard's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mes Shahr Babak let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
Fard VS Mes Shahr Babak
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fard
(Home) 27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Niroye Zamini
0 : 1 Fard
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0 Fard
11 Jul
Fard
0 : 1 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
11 Jul
Fard
0 : 1 Mazandaran
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1 Saipa
15 Jun
Fard
1 : 2 Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 4
Mes Shahr Babak
(Away) 13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2 Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Sanat Naft
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 7
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
14 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
4 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
03 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 3 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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