Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fard vs Shahin Bandar Ameri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fard host Shahin Bandar Ameri in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Shahin Bandar Ameri have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Fard have conceded 0.45 and scored 0.69. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.05 vs 0.88, favoring Fard. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fard
35%
Draws
32%
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fard come out ahead of Shahin Bandar Ameri on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fard's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Fard Clean Sheet 20%
Shahin Bandar Ameri Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fard Shahin Bandar Ameri
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 8 6
Draws 14 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.69 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.45 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fard 36 / 100
Shahin Bandar Ameri 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fard Shahin Bandar Ameri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahin Bandar Ameri let in goals in 68% of their last 22 matches.

Solid form: Fard remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Fard scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Shahin Bandar Ameri has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fard VS Shahin Bandar Ameri
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.6
63% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Fard

(Home)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Niroye Zamini
0 : 1
Fard
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
Page 1 of 6

Shahin Bandar Ameri

(Away)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
10 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
2 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)