Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Farnborough vs Hartley Wintney

World World

Club Friendly 2024 Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Postance C.
66' Event
Bartlett S.
77' Event
Matthews Lewis M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Farnborough and Hartley Wintney finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Farnborough
35%
Draws
52%
Hartley Wintney
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hartley Wintney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Farnborough come out ahead of Hartley Wintney on wins alone.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 18%
Hartley Wintney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnborough Hartley Wintney
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Farnborough vs Hartley Wintney
3:3
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Hartley Wintney vs Farnborough
0:0
Apr 18, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Farnborough vs Hartley Wintney
2:0
Jan 1, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Hartley Wintney vs Farnborough
0:1
Apr 5, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Hartley Wintney vs Farnborough
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farnborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Matthews Lewis M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Holmes R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Hartley Wintney Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartlett S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Postance C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnborough 32 / 100
Hartley Wintney 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnborough Hartley Wintney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartley Wintney Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farnborough scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Hartley Wintney let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Farnborough went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farnborough VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Farnborough

(Home)
26 Sept
Walton & Hersham
2 : 2
Farnborough
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
2 : 0
Farnborough
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Hartley Wintney

(Away)
21 Sept
Ashford United
2 : 1
Hartley Wintney
07 Sept
Hartley Wintney
2 : 1
East Grinstead Town
23 Jul
Hartley Wintney
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
20 Jul
Farnborough
3 : 3
Hartley Wintney
06 Jul
Hartley Wintney
1 : 0
Aylesbury United
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