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Farnborough vs Horsham FC

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Farnborough play Horsham FC in the National League South 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Farnborough averaged 1.82 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. Horsham FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Farnborough won 1, Horsham FC won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 6, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Farnborough and 1.44 for Horsham FC. This points to a Farnborough double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Farnborough
20%
Draws
32%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Farnborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Farnborough picked up more points recently compared to Horsham FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Farnborough Clean Sheet 16%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farnborough Horsham FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.82 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 National League South
Farnborough vs Horsham FC
2:0
Dec 30, 2025 National League South
Horsham FC vs Farnborough
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farnborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Bloomfield M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Horsham FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farnborough 46 / 100
Horsham FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farnborough Horsham FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Farnborough or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Farnborough attacking → ← attacking Horsham FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farnborough scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Horsham FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Farnborough went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Horsham FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 33
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036