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Faroe Islands vs Czech Republic

World World

World Championship 2026 Tórsvøllur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Faroe Islands play Czech Republic in the World Championship 2026. Czech Republic are favorites here. Recently, Faroe Islands averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Czech Republic averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Faroe Islands won 1, Czech Republic won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Faroe Islands and 1.50 for Czech Republic. This points to a Czech Republic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Faroe Islands
15%
Draws
56%
Czech Republic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Czech Republic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Faroe Islands picked up more points recently compared to Czech Republic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 16%
Czech Republic Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Faroe Islands Czech Republic
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.89 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 World Championship
Faroe Islands vs Czech Republic
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 World Championship
Czech Republic vs Faroe Islands
2:1
Oct 15, 2023 Euro
Czech Republic vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Jun 17, 2023 Euro
Faroe Islands vs Czech Republic
0:3
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Czech Republic vs Faroe Islands
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Faroe Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorensen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agnarsson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Czech Republic Compare

Top Goalscorer Karabec A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Faroe Islands 29 / 100
Czech Republic 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Faroe Islands Czech Republic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Czech Republic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Czech Republic & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Faroe Islands attacking → ← attacking Czech Republic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Faroe Islands scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Czech Republic let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Faroe Islands went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Czech Republic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 60
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280