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Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Tórsvøllur, Torshavn
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Match Events

14' Event
Samuelsen A.
Assist: Edmundsson A.
26' Event
Erlanov T.
Assist: Islamkhan B.
49'
Kenzhebek G.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Faroe Islands
35%
Draws
14%
Kazakhstan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Faroe Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Faroe Islands come out ahead of Kazakhstan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Faroe Islands's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 68%
Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Faroe Islands Kazakhstan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands
2:2
Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan
1:0
Oct 11, 2013 World Championship
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan
1:1
Sep 6, 2013 World Championship
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Faroe Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuelsen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Kazakhstan Compare

Top Goalscorer Erlanov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Faroe Islands 68 / 100
Kazakhstan 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Faroe Islands Kazakhstan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Faroe Islands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Faroe Islands remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Faroe Islands scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Kazakhstan let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Faroe Islands VS Kazakhstan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Faroe Islands

(Home)
06 Oct
Kazakhstan
2 : 2
Faroe Islands
02 Oct
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Slovakia
29 Sept
Moldova
1 : 1
Faroe Islands
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6

Kazakhstan

(Away)
06 Oct
Kazakhstan
2 : 2
Faroe Islands
02 Oct
Kazakhstan
1 : 2
Moldova
29 Sept
Slovakia
2 : 1
Kazakhstan
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)