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Farroupilha vs Guarany de Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Leo Ferraz
90' Event
Emersonn Bastos

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Farroupilha
39%
Draws
30%
Guarany de Bage
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarany de Bage have won more games recently than Farroupilha.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Guarany de Bage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha Guarany de Bage
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Copa FGF
Farroupilha vs Guarany de Bage
1:1
May 27, 2026 Copa FGF
Guarany de Bage vs Farroupilha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Ferraz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Guarany de Bage Compare

Top Goalscorer Emersonn Bastos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 32 / 100
Guarany de Bage 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha Guarany de Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany de Bage has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Farroupilha scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Farroupilha has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS Guarany de Bage
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
27 May
Guarany de Bage
0 : 0
Farroupilha
21 May
Farroupilha
0 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
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Guarany de Bage

(Away)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)