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Farroupilha vs Cruz Alta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bruno Porto
41' Event
Rodrigues Quadros Y.
66' Event
Balbino Sousa M.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 3 game between Farroupilha and Cruz Alta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Farroupilha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Farroupilha
15%
Draws
46%
Cruz Alta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Alta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruz Alta come out ahead of Farroupilha on wins alone.
  • Cruz Alta are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 18%
Cruz Alta Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha Cruz Alta
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs Cruz Alta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Farroupilha Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Porto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balbino Sousa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cruz Alta Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues Quadros Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 23 / 100
Cruz Alta 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha Cruz Alta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Alta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Alta let in goals in 71% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Farroupilha scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Farroupilha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS Cruz Alta
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
30 Sept
Real SC
4 : 0
Farroupilha
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Alta

(Away)
03 Oct
Cruz Alta
0 : 0
Futvida
30 Sept
Cruz Alta
4 : 0
SC Rio Grande
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
Cruz Alta
0 : 3
Real SC
13 Sept
Cruz Alta
2 : 1
Clube 1992
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Real SC 5 4 1 0 20:1 13
3 SC Sao Paulo 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
5 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
6 Riograndense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
7 Farroupilha 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
8 Clube 1992 6 1 0 5 7:11 3
9 EC Novo Horizonte 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)