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Farroupilha vs EC Guarani Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Guarani in this Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Guarani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Farroupilha
20%
Draws
46%
EC Guarani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Farroupilha haven't matched EC Guarani's recent run of results.
  • EC Guarani are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 16%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha EC Guarani
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.7 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Farroupilha
3:0
Mar 6, 2019 Gaucho 2
Farroupilha vs EC Guarani
1:2
Apr 18, 2012 Gaucho 2
Farroupilha vs EC Guarani
1:1
Mar 21, 2012 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Farroupilha
2:1
May 29, 2008 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Farroupilha
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 23 / 100
EC Guarani 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha EC Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Farroupilha scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

EC Guarani has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Farroupilha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS EC Guarani
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
80% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
30 Sept
Real SC
4 : 0
Farroupilha
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
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EC Guarani

(Away)
27 Sept
EC Guarani
3 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 14 7 4 3 13:10 25
2 EC Guarani 14 6 4 4 18:13 22
3 GE Bage 14 6 4 4 19:17 22
4 Lajeadense 14 4 8 2 12:10 20
5 Sao Gabriel 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
6 Inter Santa Maria 14 5 3 6 14:16 18
7 EC Cruzeiro 14 4 5 5 11:9 17
8 Farroupilha 14 1 4 9 10:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 7 4 3 17:11 25
2 GE Gloria 14 6 5 3 21:14 23
3 Igrejinha 14 5 6 3 14:12 21
4 Ypiranga FC 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
5 Passo Fundo 14 5 4 5 15:14 19
6 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 4 3 7 14:16 15
7 Tupi RS 14 4 2 8 13:19 14
8 AE Sao Borja 14 3 5 6 14:23 14
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)