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Farroupilha vs EC Novo Horizonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Farroupilha host EC Novo Horizonte in the Gaucho 3. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. EC Novo Horizonte have shipped 3.15 goals a game lately, while Farroupilha have conceded 1.79 and scored 0.75. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.63 - 0.94) back Farroupilha to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Farroupilha
15%
Draws
28%
EC Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Farroupilha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Farroupilha come out ahead of EC Novo Horizonte on wins alone.
  • Farroupilha are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha EC Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 28 13
Wins 5 1
Draws 8 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.31
Goals Conceded 1.79 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 76 / 100
EC Novo Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha EC Novo Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farroupilha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Novo Horizonte has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

EC Novo Horizonte's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Farroupilha scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Farroupilha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS EC Novo Horizonte
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
30 Sept
Real SC
4 : 0
Farroupilha
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
Page 1 of 6

EC Novo Horizonte

(Away)
07 Oct
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 9
Real SC
30 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
0 : 2
Clube 1992
19 Sept
SC Rio Grande
1 : 2
EC Novo Horizonte
13 Sept
EC Novo Horizonte
1 : 3
Panambi
05 Sept
Riograndense
3 : 0
EC Novo Horizonte
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panambi 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Real SC 5 4 1 0 20:1 13
3 SC Sao Paulo 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
4 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
5 Futvida 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
6 Riograndense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
7 Farroupilha 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
8 Clube 1992 6 1 0 5 7:11 3
9 EC Novo Horizonte 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Gaucho 3 (Play Offs)