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Farroupilha vs Riograndense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riograndense in this Gaucho 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riograndense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Farroupilha
15%
Draws
34%
Riograndense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Farroupilha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Farroupilha haven't matched Riograndense's recent run of results.
  • Farroupilha are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Gaucho 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Riograndense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 20%
Riograndense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farroupilha Riograndense
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs Riograndense
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs Farroupilha
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 Gaucho 3
Riograndense vs Farroupilha
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs Riograndense
0:1
Jul 24, 2022 Gaucho 3
Farroupilha vs Riograndense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farroupilha 36 / 100
Riograndense 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farroupilha Riograndense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riograndense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Riograndense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Farroupilha scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Farroupilha VS Riograndense
0.63 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Farroupilha

(Home)
30 Sept
Real SC
4 : 0
Farroupilha
26 Sept
Farroupilha
2 : 1
Cruz Alta
20 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Farroupilha
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
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Riograndense

(Away)
03 Oct
Panambi
1 : 0
Riograndense
30 Sept
SC Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Riograndense
27 Sept
Riograndense
2 : 1
SC Rio Grande
19 Sept
Futvida
0 : 0
Riograndense
12 Sept
Real SC
3 : 0
Riograndense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Sao Borja 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Cruz Alta 6 3 1 2 4:2 10
3 Santo Angelo 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
4 Elite CD RS 6 1 2 3 3:7 -1
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro RS 6 5 1 0 16:1 16
2 Futvida 6 4 0 2 14:5 12
3 Real SC 6 1 1 4 6:16 4
4 Riopardense RS 6 1 0 5 5:19 3
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gramadense 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Igrejinha 6 3 2 1 13:4 11
3 Novo Horizonte 6 1 1 4 3:14 4
4 Sapucaiense 6 1 0 5 6:17 3
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Riograndense 6 5 1 0 9:4 16
2 SC Sao Paulo 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
3 SC Rio Grande 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Farroupilha 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Gaucho 3 2023 (Play Offs)