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Farul Constanta 2 vs Gloria Albesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Farul Constanta 2 play Gloria Albesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 3 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Farul Constanta 2 averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Gloria Albesti averaged 2.1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Farul Constanta 2 won 1, Gloria Albesti won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 19, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.63 for Farul Constanta 2 and 0.51 for Gloria Albesti. This points to a Farul Constanta 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Farul Constanta 2
25%
Draws
34%
Gloria Albesti
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Farul Constanta 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Farul Constanta 2 picked up more points recently compared to Gloria Albesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.63 vs 0.51 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Farul Constanta 2 Clean Sheet 30%
Gloria Albesti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Farul Constanta 2 Gloria Albesti
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.37 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Farul Constanta 2 vs Gloria Albesti
1:2
May 3, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Gloria Albesti vs Farul Constanta 2
1:1
Apr 14, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Farul Constanta 2 vs Gloria Albesti
8:0
Nov 12, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Farul Constanta 2 vs Gloria Albesti
1:5
Sep 10, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Gloria Albesti vs Farul Constanta 2
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Farul Constanta 2 43 / 100
Gloria Albesti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Farul Constanta 2 Gloria Albesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Farul Constanta 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Farul Constanta 2 attacking → ← attacking Gloria Albesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farul Constanta 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Gloria Albesti let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Farul Constanta 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gloria Albesti lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 42
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Afumati980129:269
2Farul Constanta 2951328:1047
3Gloria Albesti93159:2639
4Inainte Modelu91084:3233