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FAS vs Alianza FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division Estadio Óscar Quiteño, Santa Ana
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Osorio H.
45' Event
Medrano E.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Medrano E.

AI Match Summary

FAS in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FAS
35%
Draws
29%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FAS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FAS lately — more wins on the board than Alianza FC.
  • Model gives FAS a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FAS Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAS Alianza FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Primera Division
FAS vs Alianza FC
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs FAS
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 Primera Division
FAS vs Alianza FC
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
FAS vs Alianza FC
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs FAS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAS 36 / 100
Alianza FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAS Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FAS found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: FAS remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Alianza FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FAS VS Alianza FC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FAS

(Home)
05 Oct
FAS
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
19 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
FAS
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
05 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
FAS
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Alianza FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
2 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
3 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
7 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
8 Platense Municipal 14 4 4 6 15:19 16
9 Inca Aruba 14 4 4 6 12:23 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 14 1 6 7 9:23 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)