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FAS vs Hercules

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Óscar Quiteño, Santa Ana
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Yan Maciel
65' Event
Nolasco J.
78' Event
Bonilla N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between FAS and Hercules finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
FAS
35%
Draws
45%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hercules haven't matched FAS's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FAS Clean Sheet 18%
Hercules Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAS Hercules
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.16 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Primera Division
FAS vs Hercules
4:0
Feb 10, 2026 Copa Presidente
Hercules vs FAS
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Primera Division
Hercules vs FAS
0:2
Sep 25, 2025 Primera Division
FAS vs Hercules
2:0
Jul 24, 2025 Primera Division
Hercules vs FAS
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan Maciel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nolasco J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Hercules Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAS 36 / 100
Hercules 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAS Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FAS scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Hercules let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

FAS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FAS VS Hercules
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FAS

(Home)
20 Aug
FAS
1 : 1
Municipal
17 Aug
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
FAS
13 Aug
FAS
4 : 1
Verdes
09 Aug
FAS
1 : 1
Atletico Balboa
07 Aug
Motagua
1 : 0
FAS
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Hercules

(Away)
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Platense Municipal
1 : 1
Hercules
23 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
19 Apr
Hercules
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
15 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 22 16 5 1 49:16 53
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 5 4 34:20 44
3 Alianza FC 22 11 4 7 36:30 37
4 Inter Santa Tecla 22 10 6 6 27:25 36
5 Municipal Limeno 22 10 5 7 33:21 35
6 Aguila 22 10 5 7 27:24 35
7 Metapan 22 6 9 7 23:30 27
8 Cacahuatique 22 6 8 8 24:28 26
9 Platense Municipal 22 4 8 10 24:31 20
10 Hercules 22 4 7 11 27:43 19
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 2 8 12 18:35 14
12 Zacatecoluca FC 22 3 4 15 23:42 13
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)