Sport Picks
Fasil Kenema vs Bahir Dar Kenema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Fasil Kenema host Bahir Dar Kenema in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Bahir Dar Kenema have shipped 0.71 goals a game lately, while Fasil Kenema have conceded 0.93 and scored 0.68. Head-to-head, Fasil Kenema have won 0 to Bahir Dar Kenema's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 0.50) point toward Bahir Dar Kenema. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Fasil Kenema lately — more wins on the board than Bahir Dar Kenema.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fasil Kenema | Bahir Dar Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 15 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Fasil Kenema stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Fasil Kenema's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Bahir Dar Kenema has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fasil Kenema
(Home)Bahir Dar Kenema
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Halaba Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Adama City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Sheger Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Mechal SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 12 | Fasil Kenema | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | St. Georges | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Hawassa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Hadiya Hossana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
