Sport Picks
Fasil Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Fasil Kenema host Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Ethiopia Nigd Bank have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Fasil Kenema have conceded 0.96 and scored 0.68. Head-to-head, Fasil Kenema have won 0 to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.75, favoring Ethiopia Nigd Bank. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Ethiopia Nigd Bank lately — more wins on the board than Fasil Kenema.
- Fasil Kenema are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fasil Kenema | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopia Nigd Bank let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Fasil Kenema has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fasil Kenema found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fasil Kenema
(Home)Ethiopia Nigd Bank
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 5 | Halaba Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Adama City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 9 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 12 | St. Georges | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 13 | Hawassa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Fasil Kenema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 15 | Welayta Dicha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
