Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fasil Kenema vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fasil Kenema play Mekelle 70 Enderta FC in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fasil Kenema averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Mekelle 70 Enderta FC averaged 0.77 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Fasil Kenema won 1, Mekelle 70 Enderta FC won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Fasil Kenema and 0.69 for Mekelle 70 Enderta FC. This points to a Fasil Kenema double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fasil Kenema
35%
Draws
32%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fasil Kenema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Fasil Kenema picked up more points recently compared to Mekelle 70 Enderta FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 14%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 28%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 43%
Second Half Goal 46%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fasil Kenema Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 13
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.7 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
May 31, 2025 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
Sep 26, 2024 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1:1
Feb 8, 2020 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Fasil Kenema
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fasil Kenema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Welde M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fasil Kenema 35 / 100
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fasil Kenema Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fasil Kenema or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +33.4%
5.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fasil Kenema attacking → ← attacking Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fasil Kenema scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Fasil Kenema went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 40
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635