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Fatic vs Real Mizque

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Fatic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Fatic
15%
Draws
32%
Real Mizque
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fatic come out ahead of Real Mizque on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fatic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Fatic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fatic, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fatic Clean Sheet 15%
Real Mizque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Real Mizque
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mizque vs Fatic
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Real Mizque
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 84 / 100
Real Mizque 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Real Mizque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatic scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Real Mizque conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fatic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Real Mizque
1.63 Goals Scored 1.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatic

(Home)
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
21 Aug
Fatic
2 : 2
Em Huanuni
Page 1 of 6

Real Mizque

(Away)
26 Nov
Real Mizque
1 : 4
GV San Jose
19 Nov
GV San Jose
4 : 1
Real Mizque
11 Nov
Real Mizque
3 : 0
Fatic
05 Nov
Fatic
2 : 0
Real Mizque
22 Oct
Stormers SL
1 : 2
Real Mizque
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic 2
Real Mizque 3
Universitario de Pando 1
GV San Jose 5
Universitario Beni 3
24 de Septiembre 4
Pasion Celeste 2
Torre Fuerte 5
Real Oruro 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Nacional Sucre 1
Municipal de Tarija 5
Atletico Bermejo 2
Real Potosi 3
Deportivo Aleman 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque 2
GV San Jose 8
24 de Septiembre 2
Torre Fuerte 4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3
Municipal de Tarija 2
Real Potosi 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose 9
Torre Fuerte 4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4
Final
GV San Jose 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1