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Fatic vs Real Mizque

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Fatic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fatic
20%
Draws
38%
Real Mizque
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fatic come out ahead of Real Mizque on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fatic's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Fatic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fatic, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fatic Clean Sheet 15%
Real Mizque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Real Mizque
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mizque vs Fatic
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Real Mizque
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 41 / 100
Real Mizque 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Real Mizque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatic scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Real Mizque conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Real Mizque's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Real Mizque
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatic

(Home)
02 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 2
Fatic
05 Oct
Fatic
0 : 4
Universitario de Sucre
22 Sept
Fatic
2 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
15 Sept
Real Potosi
1 : 0
Fatic
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
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Real Mizque

(Away)
26 Nov
Real Mizque
1 : 4
GV San Jose
19 Nov
GV San Jose
4 : 1
Real Mizque
11 Nov
Real Mizque
3 : 0
Fatic
05 Nov
Fatic
2 : 0
Real Mizque
22 Oct
Stormers SL
1 : 2
Real Mizque
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic2
Real Mizque3
Universitario de Pando1
GV San Jose5
Universitario Beni3
24 de Septiembre4
Pasion Celeste2
Torre Fuerte5
Real Oruro2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Nacional Sucre1
Municipal de Tarija5
Atletico Bermejo2
Real Potosi3
Deportivo Aleman0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque2
GV San Jose8
24 de Septiembre2
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3
Municipal de Tarija2
Real Potosi2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose9
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Final
GV San Jose2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1