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Fatic vs Sur-Car

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between Fatic and Sur-Car finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Fatic
30%
Draws
12%
Sur-Car
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fatic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Fatic taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fatic have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fatic Clean Sheet 20%
Sur-Car Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Sur-Car
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs Fatic
1:4
Oct 1, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Sur-Car
2:0
Oct 13, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs Fatic
3:0
Sep 15, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Sur-Car
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 85 / 100
Sur-Car 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Sur-Car

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sur-Car has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Fatic scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Fatic has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Sur-Car
1.63 Goals Scored 1.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatic

(Home)
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
21 Aug
Fatic
2 : 2
Em Huanuni
Page 1 of 6

Sur-Car

(Away)
28 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
7 : 3
Sur-Car
22 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 4
Fatic
08 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
01 Oct
Fatic
2 : 0
Sur-Car
08 Jul
GV San Jose
1 : 1
Sur-Car
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
2 Nacional Sucre 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
3 Hiska Nacional 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Mizque 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Universitario de Pando 4 2 1 1 5:7 7
3 Stormers SL 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Real Oruro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torre Fuerte 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
2 Pasion Celeste 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
3 Fancesa 4 1 1 2 8:8 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4 3 0 1 20:2 9
2 Atletico Bermejo 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 San Lorenzo del Beni 4 0 0 4 3:25 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Fatic 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
3 Sur-Car 4 0 1 3 5:14 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 24 de Septiembre 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
2 Universitario Beni 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Real Mapajo 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Deportivo Aleman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
3 Academia del Balompie 4 0 1 3 4:12 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)