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Fatic vs Universitario de Sucre Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Sucre in this Nacional B 2024 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fatic
20%
Draws
29%
Universitario de Sucre
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Universitario de Sucre lately — more wins on the board than Fatic.
  • Win probability leans Fatic's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Universitario de Sucre arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Universitario de Sucre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Fatic Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Universitario de Sucre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.97 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs Fatic
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Universitario de Sucre
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 74 / 100
Universitario de Sucre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Universitario de Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Fatic scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Sucre conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Fatic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Universitario de Sucre
2.17 Goals Scored 3.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatic

(Home)
27 Sept
Em Huanuni
2 : 0
Fatic
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
Page 1 of 6

Universitario de Sucre

(Away)
27 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
0 : 4
Deportivo Tigres
13 Sept
San Juan FC
2 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
04 Sept
Deportivo Tigres
1 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
30 Aug
Universitario de Sucre
1 : 1
San Juan FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Real Oruro 2
Tiquipaya 1
3 de Febrero 2
CDN Santa Cruz 7
Petrolero de Yacuiba 10
Amanecer 1
Fatic 2
Universitario de Sucre 6
Stormers SC 1
Academia del Balompie 12
Wilstermann Cooperativas 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4
Deportivo Aleman 1
Oruro Royal 8
Real Potosi 3
Alianza Beni 4
Quarter-finals
Real Oruro 4
CDN Santa Cruz 2
Petrolero de Yacuiba 5
Universitario de Sucre 6
Academia del Balompie 4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 2
Oruro Royal 3
Alianza Beni 6
Semi-finals
Real Oruro 4
Universitario de Sucre 3
Academia del Balompie 9
Alianza Beni 3
Final
Real Oruro 2
Academia del Balompie 3