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Stadium Background

Fatic vs Universitario de Sucre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Sucre in this Nacional B 2024 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Fatic
17%
Draws
70%
Universitario de Sucre
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Universitario de Sucre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Universitario de Sucre lately — more wins on the board than Fatic.
  • Win probability leans Universitario de Sucre's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Universitario de Sucre arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Universitario de Sucre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fatic Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Universitario de Sucre
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 13 16
Draws 10 2
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.33 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs Fatic
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Universitario de Sucre
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 14 / 100
Universitario de Sucre 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Universitario de Sucre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Fatic scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Universitario de Sucre conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Universitario de Sucre lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Universitario de Sucre
1.33 Goals Scored 2.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatic

(Home)
02 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 2
Fatic
05 Oct
Fatic
0 : 4
Universitario de Sucre
22 Sept
Fatic
2 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
15 Sept
Real Potosi
1 : 0
Fatic
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
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Universitario de Sucre

(Away)
23 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 3
San Juan FC
16 Nov
San Juan FC
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
09 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
02 Nov
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Real Oruro2
Tiquipaya1
3 de Febrero2
CDN Santa Cruz7
Petrolero de Yacuiba10
Amanecer1
Fatic2
Universitario de Sucre6
Stormers SC1
Academia del Balompie12
Wilstermann Cooperativas3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Deportivo Aleman1
Oruro Royal8
Real Potosi3
Alianza Beni4
Quarter-finals
Real Oruro4
CDN Santa Cruz2
Petrolero de Yacuiba5
Universitario de Sucre6
Academia del Balompie4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz2
Oruro Royal3
Alianza Beni6
Semi-finals
Real Oruro4
Universitario de Sucre3
Academia del Balompie9
Alianza Beni3
Final
Real Oruro2
Academia del Balompie3