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Fatic vs Universitario de Tarija

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fatic in this Nacional B 2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fatic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fatic
22%
Draws
18%
Universitario de Tarija
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Universitario de Tarija haven't matched Fatic's recent run of results.
  • Fatic are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fatic Clean Sheet 20%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatic Universitario de Tarija
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Fatic
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Universitario de Tarija
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatic 58 / 100
Universitario de Tarija 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatic Universitario de Tarija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Fatic scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Universitario de Tarija let in goals in 64% of their last 22 matches.

Away concern: Universitario de Tarija has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fatic VS Universitario de Tarija
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatic

(Home)
02 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 2
Fatic
05 Oct
Fatic
0 : 4
Universitario de Sucre
22 Sept
Fatic
2 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
15 Sept
Real Potosi
1 : 0
Fatic
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
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Universitario de Tarija

(Away)
22 Sept
Real Potosi
4 : 4
Universitario de Tarija
15 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
0 : 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
01 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
24 Aug
Fatic
6 : 3
Universitario de Tarija
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CDN Santa Cruz641113:613
2Petrolero de Yacuiba63219:311
3Stormers SC62136:147
4Millonarios61056:113
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre650122:715
2Amanecer632115:911
3Ciclon61238:145
4El Tejar60249:242
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Beni641112:513
2Tiquipaya641110:313
3Deportivo Aleman62135:67
4Moto Club60157:201
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz640211:512
2Real Potosi632113:911
3Fatic62139:107
4Universitario de Tarija61149:184
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oruro Royal640215:1612
2Real Oruro632113:711
3Destroyers61329:86
4Rio San Juan60338:143
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia del Balompie632119:1111
23 de Febrero631214:1010
3Wilstermann Cooperativas61508:78
4Vaca Diez60243:162
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams