Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2016/2017

FC Pampilhosa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fatima play FC Pampilhosa in the Taça de Portugal 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fatima averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. FC Pampilhosa averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Fatima won 1, FC Pampilhosa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 25, 2016 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Fatima and 1.06 for FC Pampilhosa. This points to a Fatima double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Fatima

15%

Draws

39%

FC Pampilhosa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Fatima picked up more points recently compared to FC Pampilhosa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Fatima Clean Sheet 22%

FC Pampilhosa Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fatima	FC Pampilhosa
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	8
Draws	8	3
Losses	14	19
Goals Scored	0.97	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.19	1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2016 Taça de Portugal

Fatima vs FC Pampilhosa

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Aug 28, 2011 Taça de Portugal

Fatima vs FC Pampilhosa

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Oct 26, 2004 Taça de Portugal

FC Pampilhosa vs Fatima

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 46 / 100

FC Pampilhosa 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fatima FC Pampilhosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fatima or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fatima attacking → ← attacking FC Pampilhosa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatima scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

FC Pampilhosa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Fatima went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Pampilhosa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 27

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00