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Fatima vs Oliveira Hospital Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Moreira da Silva R. P.
86' Event
Marcelo Machado

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Fatima and Oliveira Hospital finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oliveira Hospital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Fatima
15%
Draws
53%
Oliveira Hospital
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oliveira Hospital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oliveira Hospital come out ahead of Fatima on wins alone.
  • Fatima are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatima Oliveira Hospital
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.27 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Oliveira Hospital
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Oliveira Hospital
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs Fatima
2:0
Mar 22, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs Fatima
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Oliveira Hospital
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fatima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira da Silva R. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo Machado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 50 / 100
Oliveira Hospital 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatima Oliveira Hospital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatima scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Fatima has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Oliveira Hospital's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fatima VS Oliveira Hospital
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

(Home)
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Fatima
5 : 0
Malveira
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Oliveira Hospital

(Away)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Fatima
0 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
GD Sourense
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)