Sport Picks
Fatima vs SB Castelo Branco
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Fatima and SB Castelo Branco finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatima.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- SB Castelo Branco carry the better recent record into this one.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Fatima taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fatima | SB Castelo Branco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fatima Compare
SB Castelo Branco Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fatima found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: SB Castelo Branco conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Fatima remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fatima
(Home)SB Castelo Branco
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |
