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Fatima vs Sertanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Martins T.
21'
Soares Santos M.
68' Event
Picarra G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fatima
22%
Draws
18%
Sertanense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fatima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fatima lately — more wins on the board than Sertanense.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Fatima taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Fatima Clean Sheet 68%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatima Sertanense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Sertanense
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs Fatima
0:1
Feb 24, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs Fatima
1:0
Oct 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Sertanense
0:2
Jan 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs Fatima
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fatima Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sertanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Picarra G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatima 68 / 100
Sertanense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatima Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertanense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Fatima found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Fatima has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Sertanense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatima VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatima

(Home)
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Fatima
2 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
29 Mar
Fatima
0 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
22 Mar
Os Marialvas
2 : 0
Fatima
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Sertanense

(Away)
13 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 0
Sertanense
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Os Marialvas
2 : 1
Sertanense
16 Mar
Sertanense
0 : 2
Mortagua FC
09 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 0
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Elvas CAD26205141:1065
2Fatima26147530:1249
3Arronches Benfica26139427:1748
4GD Peniche26109731:2339
5Os Marialvas26910730:2837
6Mortagua FC26813523:2137
7Marinhense2699824:2136
8Alverca B2698928:2535
9SB Castelo Branco26810823:2134
10SC Pombal26881029:3432
11Uniao de Coimbra26671326:4425
12Sertanense26491323:3321
13Alcains26461617:3618
14Pero Pinheiro26261812:3912
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)