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Fatsa Bld. vs Alemdag

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ozel C.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Cimen O.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 game between Fatsa Bld. and Alemdag finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alemdag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fatsa Bld.
30%
Draws
23%
Alemdag
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fatsa Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fatsa Bld. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fatsa Bld. a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alemdag have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fatsa Bld. Clean Sheet 20%
Alemdag Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatsa Bld. Alemdag
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Fatsa Bld. vs Alemdag
0:2
Dec 20, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Alemdag vs Fatsa Bld.
3:2
Feb 23, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
Alemdag vs Fatsa Bld.
2:0
Oct 13, 2019 3. Lig Group 2
Fatsa Bld. vs Alemdag
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fatsa Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Alemdag Compare

Top Goalscorer Cimen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatsa Bld. 85 / 100
Alemdag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatsa Bld. Alemdag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatsa Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alemdag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Fatsa Bld.'s goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fatsa Bld. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fatsa Bld. VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatsa Bld.

(Home)
27 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 0
Yesil Yalova FK
19 Sept
Silivrispor
0 : 2
Fatsa Bld.
12 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
1 : 1
Amasyaspor
06 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 1
Fatsa Bld.
28 Apr
52 Orduspor
4 : 1
Fatsa Bld.
Page 1 of 8

Alemdag

(Away)
01 May
Alemdag
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
25 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
0 : 2
Alemdag
21 Apr
Alemdag
1 : 2
Cankaya FK
14 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1
Alemdag
08 Apr
Alemdag
1 : 2
Kizilcabolukspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 20 8 2 43:18 68
2 Bucaspor 1928 30 20 7 3 58:18 67
3 Malatya 30 17 5 8 50:27 56
4 Ofspor 30 14 11 5 43:31 53
5 Arnavutkoy Bl. 30 13 9 8 40:29 48
6 Edirnespor Genclik 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Guzide Gebzespor 30 11 10 9 41:29 43
8 Hopaspor 30 10 9 11 41:44 39
9 Fatsa Bld. 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
10 Kizilcabolukspor 30 9 10 11 34:33 37
11 Nevsehir 30 9 7 14 31:31 34
12 Cankaya FK 30 10 4 16 28:48 34
13 Alemdag 30 9 6 15 37:48 33
14 Kemerspor 2003 30 7 6 17 27:50 27
15 Payasspor 30 5 8 17 29:56 23
16 Manisaspor 30 1 9 20 22:56 12
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)