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Fatsa Bld. vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Erdogan K.
Assist: Kocaturk S.
7' Event
Sungur B.
9' Event
Bolukbasi M.
Assist: Alturan E.

AI Match Summary

Karabuk Idmanyurdu in this 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karabuk Idmanyurdu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fatsa Bld.
20%
Draws
40%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fatsa Bld. haven't matched Karabuk Idmanyurdu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fatsa Bld. a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fatsa Bld. Clean Sheet 68%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fatsa Bld. Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Fatsa Bld. vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2:3
Dec 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Fatsa Bld.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fatsa Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolukbasi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koroglu E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdogan K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sungur B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatsa Bld. 77 / 100
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fatsa Bld. Karabuk Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatsa Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatsa Bld. found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fatsa Bld. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fatsa Bld. VS Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fatsa Bld.

(Home)
07 Oct
Kars 36 Spor
1 : 0
Fatsa Bld.
03 Oct
Orduspor 1967
0 : 3
Fatsa Bld.
27 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 0
Yesil Yalova FK
19 Sept
Silivrispor
0 : 2
Fatsa Bld.
12 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
1 : 1
Amasyaspor
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Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Away)
07 Oct
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 0
Beykoz Anadolu
03 Oct
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1 : 2
Amasyaspor
27 Sept
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
19 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
13 Sept
Zonguldak Komurspor
1 : 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 20 7 3 56:23 67
2 52 Orduspor 30 18 4 8 68:30 58
3 Karadeniz Eregli 30 16 9 5 44:29 57
4 Yozgat 30 17 6 7 58:27 57
5 Fatsa Bld. 30 15 4 11 40:32 49
6 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 13 7 10 48:30 46
7 Pazarspor 30 11 10 9 29:31 43
8 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 30 12 5 13 32:47 41
9 Duzcespor 30 11 7 12 30:36 40
10 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 10 6 14 31:38 36
11 Orduspor 1967 30 9 7 14 35:51 34
12 Amasyaspor 30 9 6 15 28:40 33
13 Hopaspor 30 9 5 16 38:50 32
14 Bulancakspor 30 8 5 17 30:60 29
15 Cayeli SK 30 5 9 16 25:46 24
16 Giresunspor 30 4 9 17 21:43 21
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)