Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026

Fatsa Bld.

0 - 1

Karadeniz Eregli

Our Tip

Match Events

48'

Bilen N.

75'

Ozyurek B.

75'

Ozyurek B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karadeniz Eregli in this 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karadeniz Eregli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Fatsa Bld.

44%

Draws

20%

Karadeniz Eregli

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Karadeniz Eregli lately — more wins on the board than Fatsa Bld..
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Fatsa Bld. Clean Sheet 15%

Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fatsa Bld.	Karadeniz Eregli
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	15
Draws	4	8
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	1.63	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 3. Lig Group 3

Fatsa Bld. vs Karadeniz Eregli

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sep 28, 2025 3. Lig Group 3

Karadeniz Eregli vs Fatsa Bld.

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fatsa Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilen N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fatsa Bld. 35 / 100

Karadeniz Eregli 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fatsa Bld. Karadeniz Eregli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fatsa Bld. found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Karadeniz Eregli has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Karadeniz Eregli has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fatsa Bld. VS Karadeniz Eregli

1.63 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	20	7	3	56:23	67
2	52 Orduspor	30	18	4	8	68:30	58
3	Karadeniz Eregli	30	16	9	5	44:29	57
4	Yozgat	30	17	6	7	58:27	57
5	Fatsa Bld.	30	15	4	11	40:32	49
6	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	13	7	10	48:30	46
7	Pazarspor	30	11	10	9	29:31	43
8	Karabuk Idmanyurdu	30	12	5	13	32:47	41
9	Duzcespor	30	11	7	12	30:36	40
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	30	10	6	14	31:38	36
11	Orduspor 1967	30	9	7	14	35:51	34
12	Amasyaspor	30	9	6	15	28:40	33
13	Hopaspor	30	9	5	16	38:50	32
14	Bulancakspor	30	8	5	17	30:60	29
15	Cayeli SK	30	5	9	16	25:46	24
16	Giresunspor	30	4	9	17	21:43	21